Emelec 34%Draw 28%LDU de Quito 38%Expected goals 0.97 – 1.14
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: LDU de Quito to win @ 3.05 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗38% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.09
Emelec vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 April the Liga Pro brings Emelec against LDU de Quito at Estadio George Capwell. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; LDU de Quito are 4th with 54.
Current form
Emelec, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tecnico Universitario, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
LDU de Quito, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aucas, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours LDU de Quito, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Emelec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.0 xG, LDU de Quito 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 34%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: LDU de Quito to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 0–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emelec34%fair 2.94 · @2.34
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.20
LDU de Quito38%fair 2.63 · @3.05
2.11Expected goals
0.97Emelec xG
1.14LDU de Quito xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.0 – 1.1 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
38%
2.63
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.90
Draw no bet
LDU de Quito (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Emelec +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
First team to score
LDU de Quito to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.09
–
Recent results
Emelec – last 6
WLLDLL
22 Apr
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–3
L
13 Apr
@ Aucas
0–2
L
9 Apr
@ Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 6
DWLWLW
23 Apr
vs Aucas
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Mirassol
2–0
W
11 Apr
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Always Ready
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emelec and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Emelec vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Emelec have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and LDU de Quito 38%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Emelec 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs LDU de Quito?
Emelec vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
