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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mushuc Runa SC v Deportivo Cuenca: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
Sat 25 Apr 2026
Mushuc Runa SC 49%Draw 29%Deportivo Cuenca 22% Expected goals 1.32 – 0.94
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMushuc Runa SC to win49% · @1.90
Double chanceMushuc Runa SC or draw78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.69

Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 25 April the Liga Pro brings Mushuc Runa SC against Deportivo Cuenca at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47.

Current form

Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Barcelona SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Orense SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.3 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 49%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cuenca 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mushuc Runa SC or draw (78%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mushuc Runa SC49%fair 2.04 · @1.90
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.25
Deportivo Cuenca22%fair 4.48 · @4.20
2.26Expected goals
1.32Mushuc Runa SC xG
0.94Deportivo Cuenca xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.3 – 0.9 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMushuc Runa SC to win49%2.041.90
Double chanceMushuc Runa SC or draw78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.881.95
Draw no betMushuc Runa SC (draw no bet)69%1.45–
Asian handicapDeportivo Cuenca +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.511.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.681.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.101.06
First team to scoreMushuc Runa SC to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mushuc Runa SC / FT Mushuc Runa SC27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.69–

Recent results

Mushuc Runa SC – last 5

LDWLD
23 Apr@ Barcelona SC1–2L
7 Apr@ Libertad2–2D
23 Marvs Emelec2–0W
19 Mar@ Orense SC2–3L
15 Marvs Macara0–0D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

LLWWLD
22 Aprvs Orense SC1–3L
17 Apr@ San Lorenzo0–2L
8 Aprvs Santos1–0W
5 Apr@ Emelec2–0W
17 Mar@ Universidad Catolica0–1L
14 Marvs Leones del Norte1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Deportivo Cuenca.

Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Cuenca 22%.

How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Mushuc Runa SC vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.