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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Delfin SC v Mushuc Runa SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Jocay
Sun 3 May 2026
Delfin SC 41%Draw 27%Mushuc Runa SC 32% Expected goals 1.23 – 0.99
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultDelfin SC to win41% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.33

Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Delfin SC welcome Mushuc Runa SC to Estadio Jocay for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 3 May (21:30 WAT). In the table, Delfin SC are 14th on 38 points after 36 matches; Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43.

Current form

Delfin SC, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aucas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Barcelona SC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Delfin SC 1.2 xG, Mushuc Runa SC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Delfin SC 41%, draw 27%, Mushuc Runa SC 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Delfin SC 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Delfin SC41%fair 2.43 · @2.35
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.05
Mushuc Runa SC32%fair 3.15 · @3.15
2.21Expected goals
1.23Delfin SC xG
0.99Mushuc Runa SC xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Delfin SC 1.2 – 1.0 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDelfin SC to win41%2.432.35
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.882.00 ▲
Draw no betDelfin SC (draw no bet)56%1.77–
Asian handicapMushuc Runa SC +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals64%1.561.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals62%1.621.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals81%1.241.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.091.05
First team to scoreDelfin SC to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Delfin SC / FT Delfin SC24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.33–

Recent results

Delfin SC – last 6

LLDWLL
28 Apr@ Aucas0–1L
22 Aprvs Independiente del Valle0–1L
19 Apr@ Orense SC0–0D
11 Aprvs LDU de Quito1–0W
5 Apr@ Leones del Norte0–1L
18 Mar@ Macara0–1L
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Mushuc Runa SC – last 5

LDWLD
23 Apr@ Barcelona SC1–2L
7 Apr@ Libertad2–2D
23 Marvs Emelec2–0W
19 Mar@ Orense SC2–3L
15 Marvs Macara0–0D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Delfin SC and Mushuc Runa SC.

Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?

On our numbers Delfin SC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mushuc Runa SC 32%.

How many goals will there be in Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?

Our predicted score is Delfin SC 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?

Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.