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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macara v Orense SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista

Macara

WLWWD
Sun 3 May 2026
Macara 53%Draw 24%Orense SC 23% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.86
77%
Betarazi pick

Macara or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMacara to win53% · @2.00
Double chanceMacara or draw77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.45

Macara vs Orense SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orense SC travel to face Macara on Sunday 3 May in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Bellavista the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Orense SC are 13th with 39. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Macara, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Alianza Atletico, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Orense SC, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barcelona SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Orense SC 0–1 Macara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.7 xG, Orense SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 53%, draw 24%, Orense SC 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Macara or draw (77%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Macara or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Orense SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macara53%fair 1.89 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.30
Orense SC23%fair 4.34 · @3.75
2.54Expected goals
1.68Macara xG
0.86Orense SC xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Macara 1.7 – 0.9 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win53%1.892.00 ▲
Double chanceMacara or draw77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.881.95
Draw no betMacara (draw no bet)70%1.44–
Asian handicapOrense SC +1.5 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.791.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.301.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.131.06
First team to scoreMacara to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.45–

Recent results

Macara – last 6

WLWWDL
1 May@ Alianza Atletico2–0W
24 Apr@ Universidad Catolica0–4L
20 Aprvs Barcelona SC3–1W
16 Apr@ Tigre1–0W
10 Aprvs America de Cali1–1D
6 Aprvs Aucas0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Orense SC – last 6

DWDWLW
27 Aprvs Barcelona SC1–1D
22 Apr@ Deportivo Cuenca3–1W
19 Aprvs Delfin SC0–0D
12 Aprvs Libertad2–1W
24 Mar@ Aucas2–3L
19 Marvs Mushuc Runa SC3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Orense SC v Macara0–1
Macara vs Orense SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Orense SC?

Our pick is Macara or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Macara vs Orense SC?

On our numbers Macara have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orense SC 23%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Orense SC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Orense SC?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Orense SC?

Macara vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.