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Deportivo Cuenca v Tecnico Universitario: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Sat 2 May 2026
Deportivo Cuenca 46%Draw 28%Tecnico Universitario 26% Expected goals 1.28 – 0.88
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win46% · @1.96
Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.02

Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tecnico Universitario travel to face Deportivo Cuenca on Saturday 2 May in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37.

Current form

Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Recoleta, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tecnico Universitario, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Emelec, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.3 xG, Tecnico Universitario 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 46%, draw 28%, Tecnico Universitario 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Cuenca or draw (74%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Cuenca46%fair 2.15 · @1.96
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.25
Tecnico Universitario26%fair 3.85 · @3.95
2.16Expected goals
1.28Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.88Tecnico Universitario xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.3 – 0.9 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Cuenca to win46%2.151.96
Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.971.95
Draw no betDeportivo Cuenca (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapTecnico Universitario +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals65%1.541.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals61%1.651.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.101.06
First team to scoreDeportivo Cuenca to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca26%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.02–

Recent results

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

DLLWWL
29 Apr@ Deportivo Recoleta0–0D
22 Aprvs Orense SC1–3L
17 Apr@ San Lorenzo0–2L
8 Aprvs Santos1–0W
5 Apr@ Emelec2–0W
17 Mar@ Universidad Catolica0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Tecnico Universitario – last 5

LWWDD
22 Aprvs Emelec0–1L
19 Mar@ Aucas1–0W
13 Marvs Libertad2–1W
8 Mar@ Macara1–1D
28 Febvs Orense SC1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario.

Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tecnico Universitario 26%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.