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LDU de Quito v Guayaquil City FC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Sat 2 May 2026
LDU de Quito 61%Draw 24%Guayaquil City FC 16% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.75
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.36

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultLDU de Quito to win61% · @1.38
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.06

LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

LDU de Quito welcome Guayaquil City FC to Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado for a Liga Pro fixture on Saturday 2 May (22:30 WAT). In the table, LDU de Quito are 4th on 54 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48.

Current form

LDU de Quito, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lanus, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Guayaquil City FC, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Libertad, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Guayaquil City FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for LDU de Quito.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.6 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 61%, draw 24%, Guayaquil City FC 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

LDU de Quito61%fair 1.65 · @1.38
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @4.40
Guayaquil City FC16%fair 6.39 · @8.30
2.30Expected goals
1.56LDU de Quito xG
0.75Guayaquil City FC xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.6 – 0.7 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLDU de Quito to win61%1.651.38
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw84%1.191.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.962.05
Draw no betLDU de Quito (draw no bet)80%1.26–
Asian handicapGuayaquil City FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.421.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.851.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.341.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.141.12
First team to scoreLDU de Quito to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.06–

Recent results

LDU de Quito – last 6

LLDWLW
28 Apr@ Lanus0–1L
25 Apr@ Emelec0–1L
23 Aprvs Aucas0–0D
15 Aprvs Mirassol2–0W
11 Apr@ Delfin SC0–1L
8 Apr@ Always Ready1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

WWDWDL
21 Apr@ Libertad1–0W
18 Apr@ Emelec3–1W
23 Marvs Leones del Norte0–0D
18 Mar@ Manta FC1–0W
16 Marvs Barcelona SC0–0D
7 Mar@ Delfin SC0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Guayaquil City FC.

LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?

On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guayaquil City FC 16%.

How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC?

LDU de Quito vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.