Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLibertad to win ✗44% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Libertad welcome Deportivo Cuenca to Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne for a Liga Pro fixture on Saturday 16 May (01:00 WAT). In the table, Libertad are 7th on 51 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47.
Current form
Libertad, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Aucas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Lorenzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Cuenca 3–0 Libertad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad 1.3 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad 44%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad44%fair 2.28 · @2.28
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.25
Deportivo Cuenca29%fair 3.46 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.34Libertad xG
0.91Deportivo Cuenca xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.3 – 0.9 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Libertad have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Cuenca 29%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
