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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Universidad Catolica v Delfin SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador
Sat 16 May 2026
Universidad Catolica 63%Draw 23%Delfin SC 14% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.71
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win63% · @1.45
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.93

Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Delfin SC travel to face Universidad Catolica on Saturday 16 May in the Liga Pro – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Delfin SC are 14th with 38. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Universidad Catolica, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Independiente del Valle, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Delfin SC, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Baños Ciudad de Fuego, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.7 xG, Delfin SC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 63%, draw 23%, Delfin SC 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Delfin SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universidad Catolica63%fair 1.58 · @1.45
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.95
Delfin SC14%fair 7.38 · @7.90
2.38Expected goals
1.67Universidad Catolica xG
0.71Delfin SC xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.7 – 0.7 Delfin SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win63%1.581.45
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw86%1.161.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.952.20 ▲
Draw no betUniversidad Catolica (draw no bet)82%1.21–
Asian handicapUniversidad Catolica -0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.461.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.301.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.121.08
First team to scoreUniversidad Catolica to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.93–

Recent results

Universidad Catolica – last 6

LLLWDW
13 Mayvs Independiente del Valle0–3L
1 Mayvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
27 Apr@ Manta FC0–1L
24 Aprvs Macara4–0W
9 Aprvs Emelec1–1D
17 Marvs Deportivo Cuenca1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Delfin SC – last 6

WLLDWL
13 May@ Baños Ciudad de Fuego2–0W
28 Apr@ Aucas0–1L
22 Aprvs Independiente del Valle0–1L
19 Apr@ Orense SC0–0D
11 Aprvs LDU de Quito1–0W
5 Apr@ Leones del Norte0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Delfin SC.

Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC?

On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Delfin SC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC?

Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Delfin SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC?

Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.