Macara 31%Draw 27%Independiente del Valle 42%Expected goals 1.13 – 1.35
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.59
Macara vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente del Valle travel to face Macara on Saturday 16 May in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Bellavista the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Macara, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Manta FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Independiente del Valle, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Universidad Catolica, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.1 xG, Independiente del Valle 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 31%, draw 27%, Independiente del Valle 42%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–1 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macara31%fair 3.20 · @2.95
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.15
Independiente del Valle42%fair 2.37 · @2.40
2.48Expected goals
1.13Macara xG
1.35Independiente del Valle xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Macara 1.1 – 1.4 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win
42%
2.37
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Macara +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Macara – last 6
WDWLWW
11 May
@ Manta FC
1–0
W
7 May
vs Tigre
2–2
D
1 May
@ Alianza Atletico
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Universidad Catolica
0–4
L
20 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
3–1
W
16 Apr
@ Tigre
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 6
WWLWWW
13 May
@ Universidad Catolica
3–0
W
10 May
vs Barcelona SC
1–0
W
6 May
@ UCV
0–2
L
1 May
@ Universidad Catolica
3–2
W
28 Apr
@ Libertad Asuncion
3–2
W
22 Apr
@ Delfin SC
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macara and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Macara have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Independiente del Valle 42%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Macara vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
