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Deportivo Cuenca v LDU de Quito: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
1–1
FT
Deportivo Cuenca 29%Draw 28%LDU de Quito 43% Expected goals 0.91 – 1.22
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗43% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.43

Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Cuenca welcome LDU de Quito to Alejandro Serrano Aguilar for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 24 May (01:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; LDU de Quito are 4th with 54.

Current form

Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Recoleta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

LDU de Quito, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lanus, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 xG, LDU de Quito 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 29%, draw 28%, LDU de Quito 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 0–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Cuenca29%fair 3.49 · @2.98
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.25
LDU de Quito43%fair 2.32 · @2.32
2.13Expected goals
0.91Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.22LDU de Quito xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 – 1.2 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLDU de Quito to win ✗43%2.322.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.80
Draw no betLDU de Quito (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapDeportivo Cuenca +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.08
First team to scoreLDU de Quito to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito ✗25%4.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.43–

Recent results

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

DWDDLL
20 Mayvs Deportivo Recoleta2–2D
16 May@ Libertad1–0W
6 Mayvs San Lorenzo0–0D
29 Apr@ Deportivo Recoleta0–0D
22 Aprvs Orense SC1–3L
17 Apr@ San Lorenzo0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

LDU de Quito – last 6

WWLLLD
21 Mayvs Lanus2–0W
12 May@ Mushuc Runa SC3–1W
7 May@ Mirassol0–2L
28 Apr@ Lanus0–1L
25 Apr@ Emelec0–1L
23 Aprvs Aucas0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and LDU de Quito.

Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?

On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and LDU de Quito 43%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito?

Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.