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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tecnico Universitario v Leones del Norte: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
Tecnico Universitario 46%Draw 27%Leones del Norte 27% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.05
73%
Betarazi pick

Tecnico Universitario or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTecnico Universitario to win ✓46% · @1.90
Double chanceTecnico Universitario or draw ✓73% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.33

Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 24 May the Liga Pro brings Tecnico Universitario against Leones del Norte at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Tecnico Universitario are 15th on 37 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47.

Current form

Tecnico Universitario, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Emelec, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Leones del Norte, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Mushuc Runa SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tecnico Universitario 1.2 xG, Leones del Norte 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tecnico Universitario 46%, draw 27%, Leones del Norte 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tecnico Universitario or draw (73%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tecnico Universitario or draw (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tecnico Universitario46%fair 2.18 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.25
Leones del Norte27%fair 3.73 · @4.20
2.28Expected goals
1.23Tecnico Universitario xG
1.05Leones del Norte xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.2 – 1.1 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTecnico Universitario to win ✓46%2.181.90
Double chanceTecnico Universitario or draw ✓73%1.371.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.982.10 ▲
Draw no betTecnico Universitario (draw no bet) ✓63%1.58–
Asian handicapLeones del Norte +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreTecnico Universitario to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tecnico Universitario / FT Tecnico Universitario ✓23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.33–

Recent results

Tecnico Universitario – last 5

LWWDD
22 Aprvs Emelec0–1L
19 Mar@ Aucas1–0W
13 Marvs Libertad2–1W
8 Mar@ Macara1–1D
28 Febvs Orense SC1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Leones del Norte – last 6

WLWWLL
17 Mayvs Mushuc Runa SC3–1W
9 May@ Orense SC0–2L
3 Mayvs Emelec2–0W
22 Aprvs Manta FC3–0W
17 Aprvs Aucas0–1L
11 Apr@ Barcelona SC1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Leones del Norte.

Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?

Our pick is Tecnico Universitario or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?

On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leones del Norte 27%.

How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?

Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte?

Tecnico Universitario vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.