Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEmelec to win ✓45% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.88
Emelec vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Macara travel to face Emelec on Sunday 24 May in the Liga Pro, with Estadio George Capwell the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Emelec, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Manta FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Macara, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alianza Atletico, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Macara, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Emelec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.1 xG, Macara 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 45%, draw 27%, Macara 29%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emelec45%fair 2.24 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.50
Macara29%fair 3.48 · @4.85
2.18Expected goals
1.07Emelec xG
1.11Macara xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.1 – 1.1 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emelec to win✓
45%
2.24
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Emelec (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Emelec +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Macara to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.88
–
Recent results
Emelec – last 6
DLWWLL
18 May
@ Manta FC
0–0
D
3 May
@ Leones del Norte
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–3
L
13 Apr
@ Aucas
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
DWDWLW
22 May
vs Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
11 May
@ Manta FC
1–0
W
7 May
vs Tigre
2–2
D
1 May
@ Alianza Atletico
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Universidad Catolica
0–4
L
20 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emelec and Macara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Emelec vs Macara?
On our numbers Emelec have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Macara 29%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Macara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Macara?
Emelec vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
