Independiente del Valle 77%Draw 15%Tecnico Universitario 9%Expected goals 2.47 – 0.64
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓77% · @1.20
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓11% · fair 8.92
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente del Valle welcome Tecnico Universitario to Estadio Banco Guayaquil for a Liga Pro fixture on Wednesday 22 July (22:30 WAT). In the table, Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84 points after 35 matches; Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente del Valle, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Emelec, at home. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tecnico Universitario, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aucas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Independiente del Valle, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Tecnico Universitario.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 2.5 xG, Tecnico Universitario 0.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 48% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 77%, draw 15%, Tecnico Universitario 9%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Tecnico Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente del Valle77%fair 1.31 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.74 · @5.75
Tecnico Universitario9%fair 11.70 · @15.50
3.11Expected goals
2.47Independiente del Valle xG
0.64Tecnico Universitario xG
48%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.5 – 0.6 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
77%
1.31
1.20
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.55
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
11%
8.92
–
Recent results
Independiente del Valle – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Jul
vs Emelec
6–1
W
16 Jul
@ Aucas
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Mushuc Runa SC
4–1
W
8 Jul
@ Santo Domingo
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Manta FC
4–0
W
31 May
@ Guayaquil City FC
4–2
W
3.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tecnico Universitario – last 6
LLLWWL
19 Jul
vs Aucas
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Libertad
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Macara
0–2
L
7 Jul
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
2 Jun
vs Barcelona SC
1–0
W
29 May
@ Cde Juventud Italiana
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Tecnico Universitario.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tecnico Universitario 9%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario?
Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
