Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.88
Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barcelona SC travel to face Universidad Catolica on Wednesday 22 July in the Liga Pro, with Olimpico Atahualpa the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49.
Current form
Universidad Catolica, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportivo Cuenca, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Barcelona SC, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Libertad, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.5 xG, Barcelona SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 52%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 23%.
Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad Catolica52%fair 1.93 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Barcelona SC23%fair 4.31 · @4.00
2.43Expected goals
1.49Universidad Catolica xG
0.94Barcelona SC xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.5 – 0.9 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✓
52%
1.93
1.90
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Barcelona SC +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Universidad Catolica – last 6
WWLLLW
18 Jul
@ Deportivo Cuenca
2–0
W
15 Jul
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
10 Jul
@ Leones del Norte
0–1
L
6 Jul
vs Mushuc Runa SC
2–3
L
1 Jun
@ Emelec
0–1
L
29 May
@ El Nacional
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 6
WDDWLL
19 Jul
vs Libertad
1–0
W
16 Jul
vs Guayaquil City FC
1–1
D
13 Jul
@ Emelec
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Deportivo Cuenca
2–0
W
2 Jun
@ Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
29 May
@ Cruzeiro
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barcelona SC 23%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC?
Universidad Catolica vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Atahualpa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
