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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macara v Deportivo Cuenca: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista

Macara

LWWWW
3–0
FT
Macara 50%Draw 27%Deportivo Cuenca 23% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.74
77%
Betarazi pick

Macara or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMacara to win ✓50% · @2.16
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Macara welcome Deportivo Cuenca to Estadio Bellavista for a Liga Pro fixture on Wednesday 22 July (20:00 WAT). In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Macara, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Delfin SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Universidad Catolica, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Macara, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Cuenca.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Macara 1–2 Deportivo Cuenca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.4 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Macara or draw (77%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Macara or draw (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macara50%fair 2.01 · @2.16
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.05
Deportivo Cuenca23%fair 4.29 · @3.55
2.17Expected goals
1.43Macara xG
0.74Deportivo Cuenca xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Macara 1.4 – 0.7 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win ✓50%2.012.16 ▲
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.05 ▲
Draw no betMacara (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapDeportivo Cuenca +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.571.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.05
First team to scoreMacara to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✓32%3.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

Macara – last 6

LWWWWD
18 Jul@ Delfin SC1–2L
14 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC2–1W
11 Jul@ Tecnico Universitario2–0W
5 Julvs LDU de Quito1–0W
5 Jun@ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors1–0W
1 Jun@ Leones del Norte1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

LDLLWL
18 Julvs Universidad Catolica0–2L
15 Jul@ Leones del Norte1–1D
12 Julvs Aucas0–1L
5 Jul@ Barcelona SC0–2L
31 Mayvs Delfin SC1–0W
27 May@ Santos0–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Macara v Deportivo Cuenca1–2
Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our pick is Macara or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

On our numbers Macara have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Cuenca 23%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.