Leones del Norte 52%Draw 26%Guayaquil City FC 22%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.93
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗52% · @1.80
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Thursday 23 July: Leones del Norte v Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. In the table, Leones del Norte are 9th on 47 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leones del Norte, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over LDU de Quito, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Guayaquil City FC, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Manta FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leones del Norte, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Guayaquil City FC.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Guayaquil City FC 0–0 Leones del Norte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones del Norte 1.4 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones del Norte 52%, draw 26%, Guayaquil City FC 22%.
Lower-risk option: Leones del Norte or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones del Norte52%fair 1.92 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.25
Guayaquil City FC22%fair 4.48 · @4.80
2.31Expected goals
1.38Leones del Norte xG
0.93Guayaquil City FC xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.4 – 0.9 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guayaquil City FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
