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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orense SC v Aucas: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio 9 de Mayo
2–1
FT

Aucas

WLWWD
Orense SC 36%Draw 27%Aucas 38% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.23
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAucas to win ✗38% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52

Orense SC vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orense SC welcome Aucas to Estadio 9 de Mayo for a Liga Pro fixture on Thursday 23 July (22:30 WAT). In the table, Orense SC are 13th on 39 points after 36 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Orense SC, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mushuc Runa SC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Aucas, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tecnico Universitario, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Aucas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Orense SC.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Aucas 3–2 Orense SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orense SC 1.2 xG, Aucas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orense SC 36%, draw 27%, Aucas 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orense SC 1–1 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orense SC36%fair 2.81 · @2.56
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Aucas38%fair 2.66 · @2.74
2.42Expected goals
1.19Orense SC xG
1.23Aucas xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Orense SC 1.2 – 1.2 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAucas to win ✗38%2.662.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.83
Draw no betAucas (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapOrense SC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreAucas to score first46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aucas / FT Aucas ✗21%4.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.52–

Recent results

Orense SC – last 6

LLDLLL
20 Jul@ Mushuc Runa SC1–2L
17 Julvs Emelec0–2L
11 Jul@ Manta FC0–0D
7 Julvs Tecnico Universitario1–2L
1 Jul@ LDU de Quito0–3L
27 May@ Cuniburo1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aucas – last 6

WLWWDW
19 Jul@ Tecnico Universitario1–0W
16 Julvs Independiente del Valle0–3L
12 Jul@ Deportivo Cuenca1–0W
8 Julvs Guayaquil City FC1–0W
31 May@ Mushuc Runa SC0–0D
26 Mayvs Manta FC3–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026Aucas v Orense SC3–2
Orense SC vs Aucas head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Aucas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Orense SC vs Aucas?

On our numbers Orense SC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Aucas 38%.

How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Aucas?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Aucas?

Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–1 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Orense SC vs Aucas?

Orense SC vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.