Manta FC 19%Draw 27%LDU de Quito 54%Expected goals 0.76 – 1.37
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗54% · @1.80
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Manta FC vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
LDU de Quito travel to face Manta FC on Thursday 23 July in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Jocay the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Manta FC are 16th on 33 points after 36 matches; LDU de Quito are 4th with 54. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Manta FC, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guayaquil City FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
LDU de Quito, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leones del Norte, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended LDU de Quito 1–0 Manta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manta FC 0.8 xG, LDU de Quito 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manta FC 19%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 54%.
Lower-risk option: LDU de Quito or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manta FC 0–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manta FC19%fair 5.25 · @4.60
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.35
LDU de Quito54%fair 1.84 · @1.80
2.13Expected goals
0.76Manta FC xG
1.37LDU de Quito xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
1–112%
0–012%
0–211%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.8 – 1.4 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 27% and LDU de Quito 54%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs LDU de Quito?
Manta FC vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
