Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEmelec to win ✗39% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.30
Emelec vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Emelec v Aucas in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio George Capwell. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54.
Current form
Emelec, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo Cuenca, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Aucas, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Macara, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Aucas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Emelec.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Aucas 2–0 Emelec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.1 xG, Aucas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 39%, draw 28%, Aucas 33%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–1 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emelec39%fair 2.57 · @2.22
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.15
Aucas33%fair 3.03 · @3.30
2.17Expected goals
1.12Emelec xG
1.05Aucas xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.1 – 1.0 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Emelec vs Aucas?
On our numbers Emelec have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Aucas 33%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–1 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Aucas?
Emelec vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
