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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macara v Guayaquil City FC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio La Cocha

Macara

DWWLW
2–1
FT
Macara 61%Draw 23%Guayaquil City FC 16% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.73
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMacara to win ✓61% · @1.55
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.88

Macara vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guayaquil City FC travel to face Macara on Sunday 2 August in the Liga Pro, with Estadio La Cocha the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Macara, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gualaceo SC, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Guayaquil City FC, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Universidad Catolica, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Macara, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Guayaquil City FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.6 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 61%, draw 23%, Guayaquil City FC 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macara61%fair 1.65 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.75
Guayaquil City FC16%fair 6.11 · @6.25
2.38Expected goals
1.65Macara xG
0.73Guayaquil City FC xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Macara 1.6 – 0.7 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win ✓61%1.651.55
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓84%1.201.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.882.15 ▲
Draw no betMacara (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapGuayaquil City FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.741.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreMacara to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✗37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.88–

Recent results

Macara – last 6

DWWLWW
29 Jul@ Gualaceo SC1–1D
26 Jul@ Aucas4–1W
22 Julvs Deportivo Cuenca3–0W
18 Jul@ Delfin SC1–2L
14 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC2–1W
11 Jul@ Tecnico Universitario2–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

DDWDWL
27 Julvs Universidad Catolica0–0D
23 Jul@ Leones del Norte1–1D
19 Julvs Manta FC1–0W
16 Jul@ Barcelona SC1–1D
12 Julvs Delfin SC2–1W
8 Jul@ Aucas0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Macara and Guayaquil City FC.

Macara vs Guayaquil City FC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Macara vs Guayaquil City FC?

On our numbers Macara have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guayaquil City FC 16%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Guayaquil City FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Guayaquil City FC?

Macara vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Cocha.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.