Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Liga Pro brings Independiente del Valle against Deportivo Cuenca at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84 points after 35 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente del Valle, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Manta FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Emelec, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Independiente del Valle, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Cuenca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 2.2 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 72%, draw 19%, Deportivo Cuenca 9%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente del Valle72%fair 1.39 · @1.31
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.75
Deportivo Cuenca9%fair 11.35 · @10.25
2.83Expected goals
2.20Independiente del Valle xG
0.63Deportivo Cuenca xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.2 – 0.6 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
72%
1.39
1.31
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Independiente del Valle – last 6
WWWWWW
30 Jul
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Orense SC
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Tecnico Universitario
3–0
W
20 Jul
vs Emelec
6–1
W
16 Jul
@ Aucas
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Mushuc Runa SC
4–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
WLLDLL
28 Jul
vs Emelec
2–1
W
22 Jul
@ Macara
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Universidad Catolica
0–2
L
15 Jul
@ Leones del Norte
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Aucas
0–1
L
5 Jul
@ Barcelona SC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Deportivo Cuenca.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Deportivo Cuenca 9%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
