Value bet: Mushuc Runa SC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✗39% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Deportivo Cuenca v Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro, played at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43.
Current form
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Orense SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barcelona SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mushuc Runa SC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Cuenca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.2 xG, Mushuc Runa SC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 39%, draw 23%, Mushuc Runa SC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Mushuc Runa SC to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cuenca39%fair 2.54 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Mushuc Runa SC38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
2.43Expected goals
1.23Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.20Mushuc Runa SC xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.2 – 1.2 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cuenca to win✗
39%
2.54
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
Deportivo Cuenca (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Mushuc Runa SC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Deportivo Cuenca to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
LLLWLL
16 Aug
@ Orense SC
0–2
L
11 Aug
vs Manta FC
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Emelec
2–1
W
22 Jul
@ Macara
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Universidad Catolica
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 6
DWWLDW
16 Aug
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
10 Aug
@ Tecnico Universitario
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Manta FC
2–1
W
27 Jul
vs Libertad
0–2
L
24 Jul
@ Emelec
1–1
D
20 Jul
vs Orense SC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mushuc Runa SC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
