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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Universidad Catolica v Manta FC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador
5–1
FT
Universidad Catolica 72%Draw 20%Manta FC 8% Expected goals 1.96 – 0.48
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.86

Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Manta FC travel to face Universidad Catolica on Saturday 22 August in the Liga Pro – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Manta FC are 16th with 33. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Universidad Catolica, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Macara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Manta FC, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leones del Norte, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Universidad Catolica, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Manta FC.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Manta FC 1–0 Universidad Catolica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 2.0 xG, Manta FC 0.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 72%, draw 20%, Manta FC 8%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Manta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universidad Catolica72%fair 1.38 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.75
Manta FC8%fair 12.90 · @10.75
2.44Expected goals
1.96Universidad Catolica xG
0.48Manta FC xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–017%
3–011%
0–09%
1–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 2.0 – 0.5 Manta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓72%1.381.30
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓92%1.081.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.871.60
Draw no betUniversidad Catolica (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapUniversidad Catolica -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.942.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.161.14
First team to scoreUniversidad Catolica to score first73%1.37–
Half-time resultUniversidad Catolica ahead at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica ✓47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.86–

Recent results

Universidad Catolica – last 6

DLLWDW
18 Aug@ Macara1–1D
10 Aug@ Libertad1–2L
5 Augvs Cuniburo2–3L
1 Augvs Tecnico Universitario5–0W
27 Jul@ Guayaquil City FC0–0D
22 Julvs Barcelona SC2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Manta FC – last 6

LWLLLD
15 Augvs Leones del Norte0–2L
11 Aug@ Deportivo Cuenca2–1W
1 Augvs Mushuc Runa SC1–2L
30 Jul@ Independiente del Valle0–1L
26 Jul@ Tecnico Universitario0–1L
23 Julvs LDU de Quito1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Apr 2026Manta FC v Universidad Catolica1–0
Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC?

On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Manta FC 8%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC?

Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Manta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC?

Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.