Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maardu welcome Tallinna Kalev for a Esiliiga A fixture on Friday 3 April (10:30 WAT). In the table, Maardu are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 33 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41.
Current form
Maardu, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Elva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Tallinna Kalev, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Viimsi, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maardu 2.0 xG, Tallinna Kalev 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maardu 41%, draw 22%, Tallinna Kalev 37%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maardu 1–1 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maardu41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.80
Tallinna Kalev37%fair 2.68 · @2.62
3.82Expected goals
1.97Maardu xG
1.85Tallinna Kalev xG
69%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.0 – 1.8 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maardu to win✗
41%
2.45
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.25
Draw no bet
Maardu (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Tallinna Kalev +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Maardu to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Maardu ahead at half-time✗
34%
2.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maardu / FT Maardu✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.69
–
Recent results
Maardu – last 4
LLWD
12 Mar
vs Elva
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Nõmme United II
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tallinna Kalev II
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Flora II
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Tallinna Kalev – last 4
LWLL
19 Mar
@ Viimsi
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs FC Tallinn
5–1
W
11 Mar
@ Paide
0–6
L
5 Mar
@ Tartu Welco
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maardu and Tallinna Kalev.
What is the prediction for Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Maardu have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tallinna Kalev 37%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Maardu 1–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
