Value bet: Tartu Welco to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTartu Welco to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Esiliiga A brings Nõmme United II against Tartu Welco. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Nõmme United II are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme United II, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FCI Levadia II, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United II 1.5 xG, Tartu Welco 2.6 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United II 22%, draw 18%, Tartu Welco 59%.
Price worth noting: Tartu Welco to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United II 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme United II22%fair 4.48 · @3.20
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.20
Tartu Welco59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
4.05Expected goals
1.48Nõmme United II xG
2.57Tartu Welco xG
59%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Nõmme United II 1.5 – 2.6 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tartu Welco to win✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Tartu Welco (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Tartu Welco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
First team to score
Tartu Welco to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Tartu Welco ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Nõmme United II – last 3
WWW
16 Mar
@ FCI Levadia II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Maardu
4–1
W
14 Feb
@ Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4–3
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tartu Welco – last 2
LW
10 Mar
@ Vaprus
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nõmme United II and Tartu Welco.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tartu Welco 59%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
