Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tallinna Kalev welcome Nõmme United II to Kadrioru Staadion for a Esiliiga A fixture on Friday 1 May (10:30 WAT). In the table, Tallinna Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 41 points after 35 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Nõmme Kalju II, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Nõmme United II, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nõmme Kalju II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nõmme United II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Tallinna Kalev.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev 2.0 xG, Nõmme United II 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev 42%, draw 22%, Nõmme United II 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tallinna Kalev42%fair 2.37 · @2.48
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.65
Nõmme United II36%fair 2.76 · @2.18
3.71Expected goals
2.04Tallinna Kalev xG
1.67Nõmme United II xG
57%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.0 – 1.7 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tallinna Kalev to win✗
42%
2.37
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.27
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Tallinna Kalev (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Nõmme United II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.21
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.36
First team to score
Tallinna Kalev to score first
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Tallinna Kalev ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tallinna Kalev / FT Tallinna Kalev✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Tallinna Kalev – last 6
WLLWDL
27 Apr
@ Nõmme Kalju II
4–0
W
23 Apr
@ FCI Levadia II
2–3
L
16 Apr
vs Flora II
1–4
L
9 Apr
vs Elva
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Maardu
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Viimsi
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nõmme United II – last 6
LWWLWW
24 Apr
vs Nõmme Kalju II
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Elva
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Viimsi
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Tartu Welco
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ FCI Levadia II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Maardu
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tallinna Kalev and Nõmme United II.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nõmme United II 36%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II?
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
