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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flora II v Maardu: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Sportland Arena
5–0
FT

Maardu

DLWDL
Flora II 47%Draw 22%Maardu 32% Expected goals 2.17 – 1.64
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlora II to win ✓47% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Flora II vs Maardu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Maardu travel to face Flora II on Friday 1 May in the Esiliiga A, with Sportland Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Flora II are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 35 matches; Maardu are 6th (lower half) with 45.

Current form

Flora II, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Elva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.

Maardu, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Tallinn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Flora II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Maardu.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Maardu 0–0 Flora II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flora II 2.2 xG, Maardu 1.6 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flora II 47%, draw 22%, Maardu 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora II 2–1 Maardu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flora II47%fair 2.14 · @2.14
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Maardu32%fair 3.17 · @2.55
3.81Expected goals
2.17Flora II xG
1.64Maardu xG
59%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–26%
3–16%
2–05%

From our goals model: Flora II 2.2 – 1.6 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlora II to win ✓47%2.142.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.70–
Draw no betFlora II (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapMaardu +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.131.01
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.881.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗66%1.521.35
First team to scoreFlora II to score first ✓56%1.80–
Half-time resultFlora II ahead at half-time ✓39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flora II / FT Flora II ✓31%3.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Flora II – last 6

WWWWWL
23 Aprvs Elva3–2W
16 Apr@ Tallinna Kalev4–1W
10 Aprvs FC Tallinn5–0W
5 Apr@ FCI Levadia II3–1W
19 Marvs Nõmme Kalju II3–1W
6 Mar@ Viimsi1–2L
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Maardu – last 6

DLWDLL
23 Aprvs FC Tallinn1–1D
18 Apr@ Nõmme Kalju II2–3L
11 Aprvs FCI Levadia II3–2W
3 Aprvs Tallinna Kalev1–1D
12 Marvs Elva0–3L
8 Mar@ Nõmme United II1–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Maardu v Flora II0–0
Flora II vs Maardu head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flora II vs Maardu?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Flora II vs Maardu?

On our numbers Flora II have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maardu 32%.

How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Maardu?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Maardu?

Our predicted score is Flora II 2–1 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Flora II vs Maardu?

Flora II vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.