Tallinna Kalev 21%Draw 18%Tartu Welco 61%Expected goals 1.55 – 2.53
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultTartu Welco to win61% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.93
Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tallinna Kalev welcome Tartu Welco to Kadrioru Staadion for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 9 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Tallinna Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 41 points after 35 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Nõmme United II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Tartu Welco, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Tallinn, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Tallinna Kalev.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 3–0 Tallinna Kalev.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev 1.5 xG, Tartu Welco 2.5 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev 21%, draw 18%, Tartu Welco 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tallinna Kalev21%fair 4.72 · @4.50
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.50
Tartu Welco61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
4.08Expected goals
1.55Tallinna Kalev xG
2.53Tartu Welco xG
57%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
2–35%
0–25%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 1.5 – 2.5 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tartu Welco 61%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco?
Tallinna Kalev vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
