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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Elva v Tallinna Kalev: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Nike Arena

Elva

WLDLL
3–1
FT
Elva 42%Draw 22%Tallinna Kalev 36% Expected goals 1.79 – 1.52
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultElva to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Elva vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 24 May the Esiliiga A brings Elva against Tallinna Kalev at Nike Arena. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Elva, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Tallinn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Tallinna Kalev, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Tallinn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Tallinna Kalev, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Elva.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Apr 2026) it ended Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Elva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Elva 1.8 xG, Tallinna Kalev 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 42%, draw 22%, Tallinna Kalev 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Elva42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.00
Tallinna Kalev36%fair 2.78 · @2.50
3.31Expected goals
1.79Elva xG
1.52Tallinna Kalev xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%

From our goals model: Elva 1.8 – 1.5 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElva to win ✓42%2.372.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betElva (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapTallinna Kalev +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreElva to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elva / FT Elva ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Elva – last 6

WLDLLL
7 Mayvs FC Tallinn2–0W
2 Mayvs Nõmme Kalju II2–4L
27 Apr@ Tartu Welco3–3D
23 Apr@ Flora II2–3L
19 Aprvs Nõmme United II1–3L
9 Apr@ Tallinna Kalev1–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

DDWLLW
14 May@ FC Tallinn1–1D
1 Mayvs Nõmme United II4–4D
27 Apr@ Nõmme Kalju II4–0W
23 Apr@ FCI Levadia II2–3L
16 Aprvs Flora II1–4L
9 Aprvs Elva2–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Apr 2026Tallinna Kalev v Elva2–1
Elva vs Tallinna Kalev head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

On our numbers Elva have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tallinna Kalev 36%.

How many goals will there be in Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?

Elva vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.