Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Maardu vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tartu Welco travel to face Maardu on Sunday 24 May in the Esiliiga A – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Maardu are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 33 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Maardu, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nõmme United II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Tartu Welco, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Flora II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Maardu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maardu 1.4 xG, Tartu Welco 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maardu 16%, draw 19%, Tartu Welco 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maardu 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maardu16%fair 6.16 · @5.50
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @5.00
Tartu Welco65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
4.00Expected goals
1.40Maardu xG
2.60Tartu Welco xG
59%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Maardu 1.4 – 2.6 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tartu Welco to win✓
65%
1.54
1.36
Double chance
Tartu Welco or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Tartu Welco (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Tartu Welco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Tartu Welco to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Tartu Welco ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Maardu – last 6
WLDLWD
9 May
vs Nõmme United II
2–1
W
1 May
@ Flora II
0–5
L
23 Apr
vs FC Tallinn
1–1
D
18 Apr
@ Nõmme Kalju II
2–3
L
11 Apr
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Tallinna Kalev
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tartu Welco – last 6
DWDLWW
17 May
vs Flora II
3–3
D
1 May
@ FC Tallinn
2–0
W
27 Apr
vs Elva
3–3
D
23 Apr
@ Viimsi
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs FCI Levadia II
3–2
W
11 Apr
@ Nõmme Kalju II
5–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maardu and Tartu Welco.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Maardu have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tartu Welco 65%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Maardu 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Tartu Welco?
Maardu vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
