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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Elva v Tartu Welco: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Nike Arena

Elva

WWWLD
0–2
FT
Elva 24%Draw 22%Tartu Welco 55% Expected goals 1.43 – 2.14
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.26 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultTartu Welco to win ✓55% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Elva vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tartu Welco travel to face Elva on Monday 1 June in the Esiliiga A, with Nike Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Elva, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FCI Levadia II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Tartu Welco, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Nõmme Kalju II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 3–3 Elva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Elva 1.4 xG, Tartu Welco 2.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 24%, draw 22%, Tartu Welco 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Elva24%fair 4.22 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.90
Tartu Welco55%fair 1.83 · @1.62
3.57Expected goals
1.43Elva xG
2.14Tartu Welco xG
55%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
1–37%
0–26%
2–16%

From our goals model: Elva 1.4 – 2.1 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTartu Welco to win ✓55%1.831.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.82–
Draw no betTartu Welco (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapElva +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.03
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70%1.441.26
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.971.79
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.441.30
First team to scoreTartu Welco to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultTartu Welco ahead at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco ✓34%2.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.84–

Recent results

Elva – last 6

WWWLDL
28 May@ FCI Levadia II3–1W
24 Mayvs Tallinna Kalev3–1W
7 Mayvs FC Tallinn2–0W
2 Mayvs Nõmme Kalju II2–4L
27 Apr@ Tartu Welco3–3D
23 Apr@ Flora II2–3L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tartu Welco – last 6

WWDWDL
28 Mayvs Nõmme Kalju II4–2W
24 May@ Maardu1–0W
17 Mayvs Flora II3–3D
1 May@ FC Tallinn2–0W
27 Aprvs Elva3–3D
23 Apr@ Viimsi0–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Apr 2026Tartu Welco v Elva3–3
Elva vs Tartu Welco head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elva vs Tartu Welco?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Elva vs Tartu Welco?

On our numbers Elva have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tartu Welco 55%.

How many goals will there be in Elva vs Tartu Welco?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elva vs Tartu Welco?

Our predicted score is Elva 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Elva vs Tartu Welco?

Elva vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.