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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nõmme Kalju II v FC Tallinn: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Hiiu Stadium
1–3
FT
Nõmme Kalju II 51%Draw 21%FC Tallinn 28% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.69
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.21Odds
2

Value bet: FC Tallinn to win @ 4.25 – our chance 28% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNõmme Kalju II to win ✗51% · @1.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nõmme Kalju II welcome FC Tallinn to Hiiu Stadium for a Esiliiga A fixture on Monday 1 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; FC Tallinn are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Tartu Welco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

FC Tallinn, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Maardu, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Nõmme Kalju II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for FC Tallinn.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended FC Tallinn 6–3 Nõmme Kalju II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.9 xG, FC Tallinn 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 51%, draw 21%, FC Tallinn 28%.
  • Price worth noting: FC Tallinn to win @4.25 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 2–1 FC Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nõmme Kalju II51%fair 1.98 · @1.52
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.20
FC Tallinn28%fair 3.51 · @4.25
3.60Expected goals
1.91Nõmme Kalju II xG
1.69FC Tallinn xG
59%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.9 – 1.7 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNõmme Kalju II to win ✗51%1.981.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.69–
Draw no betNõmme Kalju II (draw no bet) ✗64%1.56–
Asian handicapFC Tallinn +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.01
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.401.21
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.951.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.481.36
First team to scoreNõmme Kalju II to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nõmme Kalju II / FT Nõmme Kalju II ✗27%3.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.88–

Recent results

Nõmme Kalju II – last 6

LWWLWW
28 May@ Tartu Welco2–4L
11 Mayvs FCI Levadia II1–0W
2 May@ Elva4–2W
27 Aprvs Tallinna Kalev0–4L
24 Apr@ Nõmme United II3–0W
18 Aprvs Maardu3–2W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Tallinn – last 6

DLDLLW
28 Mayvs Maardu0–0D
24 Mayvs Viimsi0–2L
14 Mayvs Tallinna Kalev1–1D
7 May@ Elva0–2L
1 Mayvs Tartu Welco0–2L
27 Aprvs FCI Levadia II4–2W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026FC Tallinn v Nõmme Kalju II6–3
Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Tallinn 28%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 2–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn?

Nõmme Kalju II vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.