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Nõmme United II v Tallinna Kalev: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia

Nõmme United II

LLDLD
1–2
FT

Tallinna Kalev

LLLLD
Nõmme United II 39%Draw 22%Tallinna Kalev 39% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.86
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultNõmme United II to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.85

Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nõmme United II welcome Tallinna Kalev for a Esiliiga A fixture on Thursday 18 June (16:00 WAT). In the table, Nõmme United II are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Nõmme United II, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Nõmme Kalju II, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Tallinna Kalev, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Flora II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Tallinna Kalev 4–4 Nõmme United II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United II 1.9 xG, Tallinna Kalev 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United II 39%, draw 22%, Tallinna Kalev 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United II 1–1 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nõmme United II39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.75
Tallinna Kalev39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
3.73Expected goals
1.86Nõmme United II xG
1.86Tallinna Kalev xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%

From our goals model: Nõmme United II 1.9 – 1.9 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNõmme United II to win ✗39%2.552.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.30
Draw no betNõmme United II (draw no bet) ✗50%2.00–
Asian handicapNõmme United II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
First team to scoreTallinna Kalev to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tallinna Kalev / FT Tallinna Kalev ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.85–

Recent results

Nõmme United II – last 6

LLDLDL
15 Jun@ Nõmme Kalju II1–4L
25 May@ FCI Levadia II2–4L
13 May@ Flora II2–2D
9 May@ Maardu1–2L
1 May@ Tallinna Kalev4–4D
24 Aprvs Nõmme Kalju II0–3L
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

LLLLDD
14 Jun@ Flora II1–3L
31 Mayvs FCI Levadia II1–2L
27 Mayvs Viimsi0–3L
24 May@ Elva1–3L
14 May@ FC Tallinn1–1D
1 Mayvs Nõmme United II4–4D
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Tallinna Kalev v Nõmme United II4–4
Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub
FT FCI Levadia II1 Tartu Welco3 125%4.33X20%4.50255%1.50 1.6–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.35 ✓
FT FC Tallinn1 Flora II3 122%4.50X17%5.00261%1.44 1.4–2.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.36 ✓
FT Maardu2 Nõmme Kalju II1 162%1.83X16%4.00221%3.00 2.6–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.25 ✓
FT Elva0 Viimsi1 137%1.73X23%4.00240%3.50 1.4–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 60%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?

On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tallinna Kalev 39%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 1–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?

Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.