Maardu 62%Draw 16%Nõmme Kalju II 21%Expected goals 2.58 – 1.24
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Maardu to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMaardu to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.05
Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 18 June: Maardu v Nõmme Kalju II in the Esiliiga A, played at Maardu linnastaadion. In the table, Maardu are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 33 matches; Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Maardu, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Elva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Nõmme United II, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nõmme Kalju II, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Maardu.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Nõmme Kalju II 3–2 Maardu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maardu 2.6 xG, Nõmme Kalju II 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maardu 62%, draw 16%, Nõmme Kalju II 21%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Maardu to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maardu 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maardu62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw16%fair 6.08 · @4.00
Nõmme Kalju II21%fair 4.68 · @3.00
3.82Expected goals
2.58Maardu xG
1.24Nõmme Kalju II xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.6 – 1.2 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Maardu have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Nõmme Kalju II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Maardu vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
