Tallinna Kalev 63%Draw 17%Nõmme Kalju II 19%Expected goals 2.71 – 1.23
63%
Betarazi pick
Tallinna Kalev to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Picks by market
ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 21 June the Esiliiga A brings Tallinna Kalev against Nõmme Kalju II at Kadrioru Staadion. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT. In the table, Tallinna Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 41 points after 35 matches; Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nõmme United II, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Maardu, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Nõmme Kalju II, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Tallinna Kalev.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Nõmme Kalju II 0–4 Tallinna Kalev.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev 2.7 xG, Nõmme Kalju II 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev 63%, draw 17%, Nõmme Kalju II 19%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tallinna Kalev to win (63%, odds 1.77 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tallinna Kalev63%fair 1.58 · @1.77
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @3.95
Nõmme Kalju II19%fair 5.17 · @3.15
3.94Expected goals
2.71Tallinna Kalev xG
1.23Nõmme Kalju II xG
56%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–16%
3–06%
2–25%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 2.7 – 1.2 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Tallinna Kalev to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Nõmme Kalju II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
