Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tartu Welco welcome Nõmme United II to Holm Jalgpallipark for a Esiliiga A fixture on Sunday 21 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tartu Welco, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FCI Levadia II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nõmme United II, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tallinna Kalev, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Nõmme United II.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Nõmme United II 1–3 Tartu Welco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 3.0 xG, Nõmme United II 1.2 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 70%, draw 16%, Nõmme United II 14%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 3–1 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tartu Welco70%fair 1.42 · @1.29
Draw16%fair 6.32 · @5.45
Nõmme United II14%fair 7.25 · @6.50
4.26Expected goals
3.01Tartu Welco xG
1.25Nõmme United II xG
71%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
3–06%
2–06%
4–16%
1–15%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 3.0 – 1.2 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Nõmme United II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 3–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
