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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Tallinn v Elva: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia
0–3
FT

Elva

DWLLW
FC Tallinn 21%Draw 23%Elva 56% Expected goals 1.27 – 2.07
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultElva to win ✓56% · @1.54
Double chanceElva or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.04
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36

FC Tallinn vs Elva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Tallinn welcome Elva for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 11 July (17:00 WAT). In the table, FC Tallinn are 8th, in the drop zone, on 41 points after 36 matches; Elva are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Tallinn, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Nõmme United II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Elva, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nõmme Kalju II, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 May 2026) it ended Elva 2–0 FC Tallinn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Tallinn 1.3 xG, Elva 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tallinn 21%, draw 23%, Elva 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tallinn 1–2 Elva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Tallinn21%fair 4.69 · @4.25
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.00
Elva56%fair 1.78 · @1.54
3.33Expected goals
1.27FC Tallinn xG
2.07Elva xG
53%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%

From our goals model: FC Tallinn 1.3 – 2.1 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElva to win ✓56%1.781.54
Double chanceElva or draw ✓79%1.271.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.87–
Draw no betElva (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapFC Tallinn +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.04
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.841.72
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.381.27
First team to scoreElva to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultElva ahead at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elva / FT Elva ✓35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

FC Tallinn – last 6

WLLLWD
4 Julvs Nõmme United II4–3W
21 Jun@ FCI Levadia II0–4L
18 Junvs Flora II1–3L
13 Jun@ Tartu Welco0–4L
1 Jun@ Nõmme Kalju II3–1W
28 Mayvs Maardu0–0D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Elva – last 6

DWLLWL
5 Jul@ Nõmme Kalju II2–2D
30 Jun@ Järva-Jaani4–0W
22 Junvs Flora II0–3L
18 Junvs Viimsi0–1L
11 Junvs Maardu4–3W
1 Junvs Tartu Welco0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 May 2026Elva v FC Tallinn2–0
FC Tallinn vs Elva head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tallinn vs Elva?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win FC Tallinn vs Elva?

On our numbers FC Tallinn have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Elva 56%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tallinn vs Elva?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Tallinn vs Elva?

Our predicted score is FC Tallinn 1–2 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is FC Tallinn vs Elva?

FC Tallinn vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.