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FCI Levadia II v Tallinna Kalev: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Maarjamae staadion
3–2
FT
FCI Levadia II 46%Draw 21%Tallinna Kalev 33% Expected goals 2.18 – 1.62
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.46Odds
1

Value bet: FCI Levadia II to win @ 2.32 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFCI Levadia II to win ✓46% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63

FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tallinna Kalev travel to face FCI Levadia II on Saturday 11 July in the Esiliiga A, with Maarjamae staadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, FCI Levadia II are 3rd, among the top four, on 57 points after 35 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FCI Levadia II, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Flora II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tallinna Kalev, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Maardu, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours FCI Levadia II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Tallinna Kalev.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Tallinna Kalev 1–2 FCI Levadia II. The last 2 head-to-heads: FCI Levadia II 2 wins, Tallinna Kalev 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FCI Levadia II 2.2 xG, Tallinna Kalev 1.6 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FCI Levadia II 46%, draw 21%, Tallinna Kalev 33%.
  • Price worth noting: FCI Levadia II to win @2.32 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (56%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: FCI Levadia II 2–2 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FCI Levadia II46%fair 2.17 · @2.32
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.85
Tallinna Kalev33%fair 3.04 · @2.25
3.81Expected goals
2.18FCI Levadia II xG
1.62Tallinna Kalev xG
58%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–26%
3–16%
2–05%

From our goals model: FCI Levadia II 2.2 – 1.6 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFCI Levadia II to win ✓46%2.172.32 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Draw no betFCI Levadia II (draw no bet) ✓58%1.71–
Asian handicapTallinna Kalev +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.331.14
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓56%1.771.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.601.50
First team to scoreFCI Levadia II to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultFCI Levadia II ahead at half-time ✓40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT FCI Levadia II / FT FCI Levadia II ✓32%3.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.63–

Recent results

FCI Levadia II – last 6

WWLWWL
5 Jul@ Flora II4–0W
21 Junvs FC Tallinn4–0W
18 Junvs Tartu Welco1–3L
14 Junvs Viimsi2–0W
31 May@ Tallinna Kalev2–1W
28 Mayvs Elva1–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

DWWLLL
3 Julvs Maardu3–3D
21 Junvs Nõmme Kalju II5–1W
18 Jun@ Nõmme United II2–1W
14 Jun@ Flora II1–3L
31 Mayvs FCI Levadia II1–2L
27 Mayvs Viimsi0–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Tallinna Kalev v FCI Levadia II1–2
23 Apr 2026FCI Levadia II v Tallinna Kalev3–2
FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?

On our numbers FCI Levadia II have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tallinna Kalev 33%.

How many goals will there be in FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our predicted score is FCI Levadia II 2–2 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev?

FCI Levadia II vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Maarjamae staadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.