Nõmme United II 19%Draw 18%Tartu Welco 63%Expected goals 1.44 – 2.65
63%
Betarazi pick
Tartu Welco to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultTartu Welco to win ✗63% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the Esiliiga A brings Nõmme United II against Tartu Welco. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Nõmme United II are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme United II, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Viimsi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Tartu Welco, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Rumori Calcio II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Nõmme United II.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 5–2 Nõmme United II. The last 2 head-to-heads: Nõmme United II 0 wins, Tartu Welco 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United II 1.4 xG, Tartu Welco 2.7 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United II 19%, draw 18%, Tartu Welco 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tartu Welco to win (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United II 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme United II19%fair 5.19 · @4.10
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.20
Tartu Welco63%fair 1.59 · @1.53
4.09Expected goals
1.44Nõmme United II xG
2.65Tartu Welco xG
59%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
1–16%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Nõmme United II 1.4 – 2.7 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tartu Welco 63%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco?
Nõmme United II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
