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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Elva v Nõmme Kalju II: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Nike Arena

Elva

WDWLW
1–0
FT
Elva 65%Draw 17%Nõmme Kalju II 18% Expected goals 2.42 – 1.20
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultElva to win ✓65% · @1.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Elva v Nõmme Kalju II in the Esiliiga A, played at Nike Arena. In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Elva, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nõmme United II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Tallinn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Elva, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Nõmme Kalju II.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Nõmme Kalju II 2–2 Elva. The last 2 head-to-heads: Elva 0 wins, Nõmme Kalju II 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Elva 2.4 xG, Nõmme Kalju II 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 65%, draw 17%, Nõmme Kalju II 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Elva65%fair 1.54 · @1.28
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @5.50
Nõmme Kalju II18%fair 5.46 · @6.50
3.63Expected goals
2.42Elva xG
1.20Nõmme Kalju II xG
52%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–06%
3–06%

From our goals model: Elva 2.4 – 1.2 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElva to win ✓65%1.541.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betElva (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapElva -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.401.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
First team to scoreElva to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultElva ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elva / FT Elva ✓42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

Elva – last 6

WDWLWW
30 Aug@ Nõmme United II1–0W
24 Augvs Flora II0–0D
20 Augvs Maardu1–0W
15 Aug@ Tallinna Kalev0–1L
12 Augvs Joker3–0W
8 Augvs Tartu Welco2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Nõmme Kalju II – last 6

WLLLLL
29 Aug@ FC Tallinn2–0W
23 Augvs Tartu Welco2–4L
20 Augvs Tallinna Kalev0–3L
17 Aug@ Nõmme United II0–2L
10 Aug@ Flora II0–3L
1 Augvs Maardu1–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Nõmme Kalju II v Elva2–2
2 May 2026Elva v Nõmme Kalju II2–4
Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?

On our numbers Elva have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Nõmme Kalju II 18%.

How many goals will there be in Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Our predicted score is Elva 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II?

Elva vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.