Maardu 58%Draw 21%Nõmme United II 20%Expected goals 2.39 – 1.40
58%
Betarazi pick
Maardu to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaardu to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chanceMaardu or draw ✓80% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.07
Maardu vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme United II travel to face Maardu on Sunday 6 September in the Esiliiga A, with Maardu linnastaadion the venue – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Maardu are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 33 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40.
Current form
Maardu, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FCI Levadia II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Nõmme United II, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Elva, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maardu, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Nõmme United II.
Head to head
When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Maardu 2–1 Nõmme United II. The last 2 head-to-heads: Maardu 1 win, Nõmme United II 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maardu 2.4 xG, Nõmme United II 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maardu 58%, draw 21%, Nõmme United II 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maardu to win (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maardu 2–1 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maardu58%fair 1.72 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.93
Nõmme United II20%fair 4.90 · @3.21
3.79Expected goals
2.39Maardu xG
1.40Nõmme United II xG
59%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–06%
2–26%
1–05%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.4 – 1.4 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Maardu to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Maardu have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nõmme United II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Nõmme United II?
Maardu vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
