Value bet: Flora II to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFlora II to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Flora II vs Elva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elva travel to face Flora II on Sunday 13 September in the Esiliiga A, with Sportland Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Flora II are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 35 matches; Elva are 4th (among the top four) with 55. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Flora II, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Nõmme Kalju II, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Elva, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Viimsi, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Aug 2026) it ended Elva 0–0 Flora II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Flora II 2 wins, Elva 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flora II 2.3 xG, Elva 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 71% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flora II 60%, draw 16%, Elva 24%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Flora II to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora II 2–1 Elva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flora II60%fair 1.67 · @1.83
Draw16%fair 6.23 · @3.60
Elva24%fair 4.13 · @3.30
3.64Expected goals
2.27Flora II xG
1.37Elva xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Flora II 2.3 – 1.4 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Flora II vs Elva?
On our numbers Flora II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Elva 24%.
How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Elva?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Elva?
Our predicted score is Flora II 2–1 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Flora II vs Elva?
Flora II vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
