Maardu 47%Draw 18%Tallinna Kalev 34%Expected goals 2.10 – 1.77
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMaardu to win47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score75% · @1.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.26
Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Maardu v Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A, played at Maardu linnastaadion. In the table, Maardu are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 33 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41.
Current form
Maardu, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nõmme United II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nõmme United II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maardu, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Tallinna Kalev.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Aug 2026) it ended Tallinna Kalev 1–3 Maardu. The last 3 head-to-heads: Maardu 1 win, Tallinna Kalev 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maardu 2.1 xG, Tallinna Kalev 1.8 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maardu 47%, draw 18%, Tallinna Kalev 34%.
GG/NG: GG (75%) at 1.20.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maardu 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maardu47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.00
Tallinna Kalev34%fair 2.93 · @2.63
3.87Expected goals
2.10Maardu xG
1.77Tallinna Kalev xG
75%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.1 – 1.8 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Maardu have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tallinna Kalev 34%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev?
Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
