Tartu Welco vs Elva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Friday 9 October: Tartu Welco v Elva in the Esiliiga A, played at Holm Jalgpallipark. In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; Elva are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tartu Welco, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Viimsi, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Elva, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tallinna Kalev, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Elva 2–1 Tartu Welco. The last 3 head-to-heads: Tartu Welco 1 win, Elva 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 2.4 xG, Elva 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 63%, draw 18%, Elva 19%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 2–1 Elva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tartu Welco63%fair 1.59 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @4.20
Elva19%fair 5.24 · @4.20
3.62Expected goals
2.38Tartu Welco xG
1.24Elva xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.4 – 1.2 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Elva?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elva 19%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Elva?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Tartu Welco vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
