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Nõmme United II v FCI Levadia II: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia
0–1
FT
Nõmme United II 42%Draw 18%FCI Levadia II 40% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.92
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultNõmme United II to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.16

Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nõmme United II welcome FCI Levadia II for a Esiliiga A fixture on Friday 9 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Nõmme United II are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; FCI Levadia II are 3rd (among the top four) with 57. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nõmme United II, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nõmme Kalju II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

FCI Levadia II, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over FC Tallinn, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Nõmme United II 1–2 FCI Levadia II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nõmme United II 1 win, FCI Levadia II 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United II 2.0 xG, FCI Levadia II 1.9 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United II 42%, draw 18%, FCI Levadia II 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United II 2–1 FCI Levadia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nõmme United II42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.20
FCI Levadia II40%fair 2.48 · @2.50
3.89Expected goals
1.96Nõmme United II xG
1.92FCI Levadia II xG
61%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–35%

From our goals model: Nõmme United II 2.0 – 1.9 FCI Levadia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNõmme United II to win ✗42%2.392.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.63–
Draw no betNõmme United II (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapFCI Levadia II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75%1.341.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
First team to scoreNõmme United II to score first ✗49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓34%2.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nõmme United II / FT Nõmme United II ✗25%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.16–

Recent results

Nõmme United II – last 6

WWWLLL
21 Sep@ Nõmme Kalju II3–2W
13 Sepvs Viimsi1–0W
10 Sepvs Tallinna Kalev2–1W
6 Sep@ Maardu1–2L
30 Augvs Elva0–1L
24 Aug@ Viimsi1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FCI Levadia II – last 6

WDWLWL
13 Sep@ FC Tallinn5–1W
10 Sepvs Tartu Welco0–0D
4 Sepvs Flora II6–2W
29 Aug@ Maardu2–4L
23 Augvs FC Tallinn2–1W
20 Aug@ Tartu Welco2–4L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Nõmme United II v FCI Levadia II1–2
25 May 2026FCI Levadia II v Nõmme United II4–2
16 Mar 2026FCI Levadia II v Nõmme United II0–1
Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II?

On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FCI Levadia II 40%.

How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II?

Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 2–1 FCI Levadia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II?

Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.