Nõmme Kalju II 17%Draw 22%Elva 61%Expected goals 1.15 – 2.29
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultElva to win ✗61% · @1.50
Double chanceElva or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme Kalju II welcome Elva to Hiiu Stadium for a Esiliiga A fixture on Sunday 18 October (10:30 WAT). In the table, Nõmme Kalju II are 10th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 36 matches; Elva are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FCI Levadia II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Elva, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Tartu Welco, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Elva, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Nõmme Kalju II.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Elva 1–0 Nõmme Kalju II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nõmme Kalju II 1 win, Elva 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme Kalju II 1.2 xG, Elva 2.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme Kalju II 17%, draw 22%, Elva 61%.
Lower-risk option: Elva or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Elva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme Kalju II17%fair 6.03 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.20
Elva61%fair 1.63 · @1.50
3.44Expected goals
1.15Nõmme Kalju II xG
2.29Elva xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Nõmme Kalju II 1.2 – 2.3 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
On our numbers Nõmme Kalju II have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Elva 61%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
Our predicted score is Nõmme Kalju II 1–2 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva?
Nõmme Kalju II vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
