Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Tartu Welco v Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A, played at Holm Jalgpallipark. In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 40 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tartu Welco, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over FC Tallinn, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Nõmme United II, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FCI Levadia II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Nõmme United II.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Nõmme United II 2–1 Tartu Welco. The last 3 head-to-heads: Tartu Welco 2 wins, Nõmme United II 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 2.7 xG, Nõmme United II 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 71%, draw 12%, Nõmme United II 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tartu Welco to win (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 2–1 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tartu Welco71%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw12%fair 8.39 · @5.31
Nõmme United II18%fair 5.71 · @4.89
3.87Expected goals
2.66Tartu Welco xG
1.21Nõmme United II xG
56%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.7 – 1.2 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Nõmme United II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?
Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
