Value bet: Nõmme United II to win @ 2.72 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultElva to win ✓41% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.29
Elva vs Nõmme United II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elva welcome Nõmme United II to Nike Arena for a Esiliiga A fixture on Sunday 8 November (11:30 WAT). In the table, Elva are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United II are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Elva, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tallinna Kalev, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Nõmme United II, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Tallinn, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Nõmme United II 0–1 Elva. The last 2 head-to-heads: Elva 1 win, Nõmme United II 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elva 1.8 xG, Nõmme United II 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 41%, draw 20%, Nõmme United II 40%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.
Price worth noting: Nõmme United II to win @2.72 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 1–1 Nõmme United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elva41%fair 2.46 · @2.11
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.74
Nõmme United II40%fair 2.52 · @2.72
3.51Expected goals
1.77Elva xG
1.74Nõmme United II xG
71%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Elva 1.8 – 1.7 Nõmme United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Elva vs Nõmme United II?
On our numbers Elva have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nõmme United II 40%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Nõmme United II?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Our predicted score is Elva 1–1 Nõmme United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Nõmme United II?
Elva vs Nõmme United II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Nike Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
