Value bet: Tallinna Kalev to win @ 1.74 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTallinna Kalev to win ✗61% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78
FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: FC Tallinn v Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A. In the table, FC Tallinn are 8th, in the drop zone, on 41 points after 36 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Tallinn, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Nõmme United II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Elva, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Tallinna Kalev 1–1 FC Tallinn. The last 3 head-to-heads: FC Tallinn 0 wins, Tallinna Kalev 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tallinn 1.3 xG, Tallinna Kalev 2.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tallinn 23%, draw 15%, Tallinna Kalev 61%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.
Price worth noting: Tallinna Kalev to win @1.74 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tallinn 1–2 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tallinn23%fair 4.29 · @3.46
Draw15%fair 6.49 · @4.10
Tallinna Kalev61%fair 1.63 · @1.74
3.66Expected goals
1.34FC Tallinn xG
2.32Tallinna Kalev xG
71%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: FC Tallinn 1.3 – 2.3 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers FC Tallinn have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Tallinna Kalev 61%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is FC Tallinn 1–2 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?
FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
