Gangneung City 39%Draw 27%Changwon City 34%Expected goals 1.24 – 0.99
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Gangneung City to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGangneung City to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Gangneung City vs Changwon City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Gangneung City v Changwon City in the K3 League. In the table, Gangneung City are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 26 matches; Changwon City are 11th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Gangneung City, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Yangpyeong, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Changwon City, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ulsan Citizen, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gangneung City 1.2 xG, Changwon City 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gangneung City 39%, draw 27%, Changwon City 34%.
Price worth noting: Gangneung City to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gangneung City 1–0 Changwon City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gangneung City39%fair 2.59 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.00
Changwon City34%fair 2.91 · @2.25
2.23Expected goals
1.24Gangneung City xG
0.99Changwon City xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gangneung City 1.2 – 1.0 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gangneung City to win✗
39%
2.59
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Gangneung City (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Changwon City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Gangneung City to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gangneung City / FT Gangneung City✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.50
–
Recent results
Gangneung City – last 6
WDLWLW
23 May
@ Yangpyeong
1–0
W
17 May
@ Siheung Citizen
1–1
D
10 May
vs Daejeon Korail
0–3
L
1 May
vs Gyeongju HNP
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Busan Transportation
0–4
L
18 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Changwon City – last 6
WDLDLW
23 May
vs Ulsan Citizen
2–0
W
16 May
@ Pocheon
0–0
D
9 May
@ Yangpyeong
0–1
L
2 May
vs Siheung Citizen
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Daejeon Korail
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Gyeongju HNP
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gangneung City and Changwon City.
What is the prediction for Gangneung City vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Gangneung City vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Gangneung City have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Changwon City 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gangneung City vs Changwon City?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gangneung City vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Gangneung City 1–0 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gangneung City vs Changwon City?
Gangneung City vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
